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UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this battle career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and is based on finishing competitions. At a five round combat this strategy is a risky one that will backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of their own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the feet both guys may have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz is likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the ground. As Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes using a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The major differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and relies on high hazard admissions off his back. This strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and look for trips and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.70 Units.
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